Oct. 7, 2025

The 9 Planetary Boundaries: Earth’s 2025 Health Check

The 9 Planetary Boundaries: Earth’s 2025 Health Check

The planet just got a health check — and the results are alarming.

In this episode of Sustainability Forward, Wrishi and Carmine revisit one of their most downloaded topics: the 9 Planetary Boundaries Framework — the scientific model that helps us understand how human activity is pushing Earth beyond its safe operating space.

The 2025 update brings a sobering milestone: for the first time, scientists confirm that ocean acidification has crossed its boundary. That means 7 out of the 9 planetary boundaries — including climate change, biodiversity loss, and chemical pollution — are now beyond the safe zone.

But this episode isn’t about despair. It’s about direction. Wrishi and Carmine unpack what each boundary means for ecosystems, economies, and people — and highlight the real-world actions that can bring us back, from restoring forests and protecting water systems to accelerating decarbonisation and circular economy solutions.

Because understanding the boundaries isn’t just science — it’s about redefining how we live within them.

🎧 Listen now on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your shows.
🌐 sustainabilityforward.com

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Welcome back to Sustainability
Forward, the podcast where we

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talk about the important issues
surrounding sustainability and

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we try to find issues and
solutions to those issues.

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Now you may remember last year
we did an episode that was

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titled The Planetary Boundaries
or The Planetary Boundaries

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Framework.
In fact, it was one of our most

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downloaded episodes in that
season.

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In in that episode, we explain
the idea of these boundaries as

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kind of a dashboard for the
Earth, which helps us to see how

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far human activities pushing our
planet Earth beyond its safe

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operating space.
Yes, Richie, so very exciting

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topic and today we are coming
back because there are some

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updates.
First of all, what is this

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planetary boundary framework?
So it was first proposed in in

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29 by John, Joanne Rockham and
colleagues at the so-called

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Resilience Center.
So the model defines 9 critical

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hurt system processes like
climate, diversity, oceans, and

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land that regulates the planet
stability.

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The day is quite simple.
If we stay within these limits,

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humanity has a safe operating
space.

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If we cross them, we risk
destabilizing the HER system in

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ways that could be irreversible.
The framework was updated in

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20/15/2023 and now in 2025.
And this is what we're

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discussing today because they
just the new report, the

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planetary health check has been
just just came out and the for

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the first time scientists has
confirmed that ocean

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acidification boundary has been
breached.

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That doesn't sound good.
Now, ocean Ocean acidification

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might sound a bit technical, but
there's a simple way to think

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about it.
The ocean has been, of course,

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one of our biggest allies in
climate stability, absorbing 1/4

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of all the CO2 that has been
pumped into the atmosphere from

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human activities.
But that service comes with a

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cost.
The more CO2 the oceans absorb,

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the more acidic they become, and
that is the boundary that seems

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to have been breached now with
this update on the report.

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Yes, it is a big ecosystem.
It's ecosystem also for wheat

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for what we know very little
with a very fragile equilibrium.

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Now in that kind of ecosystem,
the acidity, it's a way at coral

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reef we can shellfish and even
treatance the Platon that from

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the base of the marine food web.
In other words, it risk

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destabilizing life in oceans.
And since so much of our food

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and climate stability depends on
healthy seas, there is high risk

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to manatee too.
And which is why this update is

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important.
With this new breach of the

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ocean acidification boundary, we
now have seven out of the 9

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planetary boundaries crossed.
And that is a huge warning sign.

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But it's also a reminder that
these boundaries aren't just

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abstract science.
We talked about it in the last

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season's episode, but but we'll
restate it again, that these

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planetary boundaries actually
translate into risks for

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ecosystems, economies and
people.

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Yeah, and today let's take a
fresh look at the planetary

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boundaries once again, bound by
one.

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Talk about the current state of
each and the highlight what on

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the action that could help to
bring us back towards a safer

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operating space.
Yeah.

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So starting with the number one,
the obvious one, climate change.

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So what is it?
It's the boundary that's being

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driven by emission of greenhouse
gases, especially carbon dioxide

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that traps heat.
And where is this boundary?

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Today?
The safe limit is 300 50 part of

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a million of CO2 in the
atmosphere today that number is

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actually at 420 to 425 PPM.
So clearly we crossed that

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boundary.
Warming, global warming is at

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1.2°C above pre industrial
levels.

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This is one of the more well
known topics.

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So the risks from crossing this
boundary are very clear.

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Leads to rising sea levels,
extreme heat which we have

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experienced over last few
summers, floods which are very

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unpredictable, crop failures and
tipping points like the collapse

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of the ice sheet.
The actions seem to be also

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clear, even though less actions
are being taken.

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But the actions are also clear.
It's about decarbonizing our

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energy system, accelerating the
adoption of renewables and

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protecting forests and improving
overall efficiency of our energy

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systems.
And let's go to the second

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boundary, the biodiversity, the
biosphere integrity.

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Here we measure the richness and
the balance of life on Earth,

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species, habitats and
ecosystems.

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Scientists use excision rate,
but Simply put we are losing

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species at 10 to 100 times
faster the natural background

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rates.
So only a few extinctions per

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year globally is what's
happening and the current it's

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this is what would be the safe
state.

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So having just a few extinctions
per year, but the current status

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with is 10 time 100 times
faster.

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We are hundreds now annually and
the risk are the loss of

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pollinator and we talked about
for example in our previous

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episode about the honey, the
collapse of food webs and the

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risk for less resilient
ecosystems.

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What can we do about it so we
can protect habitats, we can

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restore ecosystem, we can reduce
hunting and other fishing and

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carb pollution?
The third one is biogeochemical

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flows, particularly with respect
to nitrogen and phosphorus.

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Of course, as fertilizers we add
nitrogen and phosphorus to the

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soil, but a lot of this actually
flows into rivers and oceans,

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increasing the level of
nitrogen, phosphorus in water

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bodies.
What is the safe status of this?

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About half of what we apply
today.

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Nitrogen is today about three
times over the safe limit and

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phosphorus is at double the safe
limit.

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So clearly we've exceeded these
boundaries as well.

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The risks of this, although not
immediately visible, are

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enormous.
It leads to toxic algae blooms.

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There are dead zones in oceans.
So where it's supposed to be

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very biodiverse rich zones in
the oceans, they are they're all

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becoming dead.
And that then had an impact on

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the quality of drinking water as
well.

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What can we do in terms of
actions?

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We we can use fertilizers
smartly.

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We can think about nutrient
recycling, which in many places

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is already being done.
We can do regenerative farming.

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We've talked about that on this
podcast in the past.

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And then there's also a need to
think of dietary shifts.

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The way the world consumes today
is not necessarily helping this

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either.
And let's go to the other

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boundaries, the 4th 1 land
system change.

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So this measures how much of
earth natural land is covered

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especially with forest and how
much has been replaced with

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crops.
And see this, so a safe status

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will say that we should have at
least a 75% of regional forest

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protected.
Today we are closer to 60% and

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this is particularly worrying on
tropical forest.

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The risk are the loss of
university weaker carbon 6.

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We talked in the past about how
important it is to have a

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healthy land system in order to
be also on a carbon sinks and

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also disrupt and rainfalls
partners because of the change

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of moisture connected to the
soil actions.

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So stop deforestation, restore
degraded the lands.

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Let's nature do its job taking
back this land.

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Adopt sustainable farming.
Yeah.

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The next one, which is
freshwater use, I think that

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that that might be more visible.
It's basically the use of

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freshwater from sources like
rivers, lakes and aquifers.

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We draw this water for various
activities like farming,

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industry and homes.
And this is a critical, critical

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parameter because it impacts our
livelihoods quite, quite

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directly.
The safe limit is considered to

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be 4000 kilometer cube per year.
Globally.

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Today, this number is at 2600
kilometer cube per year.

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So in a sense we are within the
safe limit, but that doesn't

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mean it applies at all places
equally.

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There are certain regions in the
world where the crisis relating

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to this is quite acute.
Examples are India, Middle East,

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in the western part of the US.
This leads to the risk of river

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systems drying up completely,
which has been seen in some

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places.
Severe groundwater depletion,

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which is actually much more
common now and then.

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Water conflicts between between
regions, between countries.

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The actions that we can take are
utilization of efficient

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irrigation systems, reducing the
leaks and wastages in our water

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systems overall, and recycling
the water that we consume.

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In fact, the restoration of
wetlands is also considered to

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drive a reduction in freshwater
use.

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And then we have of course we
talk about the ocean

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acidification.
So this is about the ocean

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absorbing CO2, becoming more
acid and as you said Richie,

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lowering the argonite levels
needed by corals and shell

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building Organism.
So the boundaries was set at 80%

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of pre industrial saturation.
Now we are 84 and falling.

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So the 2025 report confirms that
this boundary has been breached.

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So the risk is for color relief
as we see in some part of the

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world, especially in the Pacific
area is collapsing, loss of

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marine, marine diversity,
weakened fish stock, reduced

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carbon storage by the ocean and
these boundaries directly linked

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to the CO2.
So, similar to climate change,

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these are the action that we
need to put in place.

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Yeah, kind of a double whammy,
right?

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Warms up the atmosphere as well
as creates acidification, CO2,

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so a big driver.
The next one is a novel entities

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which is basically chemicals and
plastics because of human

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activities will produce a lot of
substances which do not

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naturally breakdown.
Examples are plastics, PFAS,

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which are also known as forever
chemicals, pesticides and heavy

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metals.
When they're introduced into our

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ecosystem, they, they survive in
the ecosystem for for long

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durations of time, in fact
forever in some cases.

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So the current status and today
is a little bit difficult to

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understand because there is no
one single number, but clearly

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it has been exceeded in
different on different fronts.

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We produce hundreds and
thousands of synthetic

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chemicals.
Many are persistent and toxic as

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well.
The risks are quite obvious.

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It leads to contamination of
water and the soil system.

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It's harmful to human health.
A lot of the harms caused by

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forever chemicals have been well
documented.

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The introduction of micro
plastics and food chains is a

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major major issue as well.
And the long term effects today

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are not even fully known.
Actions could be around stronger

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chemical regulation, banning
certain persistent pollutants,

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focusing more on circular
economy which is a which is a

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major topic in Europe and needs
major infrastructure change for

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that to be implemented, and
things like cutting single use

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plastic as much as possible.
And then we talk about the

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stratospheric ozone depletion.
So a lot of people know the

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problem with the ozone layer and
this how it Shields us from

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harmful UV radiation.
Scientists measure its thickness

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in something called last Dobson
Unit.

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And this unit is recovering from
alarming state thanks to what

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happened with the Montreal
Protocol.

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One example of corporation
multilateralism that we had in

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the past across countries risk
in case this would be breached

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is a healthy problem, for
example, skin cancer or rock

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damage.
So and harms to different kind

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of ecosystems.
So the actions is keep enforcing

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these global treaties avoid
harmful substitutes.

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All right.
Next one is atmospheric aerosol

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loading.
So this is basically the

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presence of tiny particles in
the atmosphere which are

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produced as a result of
activities like burning coal,

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oil, biomass and dust.
These tiny particles end up

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affecting sunlight, they end up
affecting rainfall and as a

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result, human health.
Again, there is no single safe

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global number because we're
talking about many things as a,

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you know, as a group here.
But South Asia and parts of

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Africa are far above safe levels
in many of these, many of these

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particles being present in the
atmosphere.

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The risks are they relate to
premature deaths from air

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pollution, disrupted monsoons,
which is already being seen in

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India and Pakistan, you know,
where these countries depend

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quite significantly on monsoons
and uncertain effects on on

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global climate.
The actions we could take are

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cutting down coal, which is
happening in some places, not so

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much in others.
You know, use of clean transport

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mechanisms, reducing biomass
burning and improving air

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quality standards overall.
So the predatory boundaries

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framework is like a dashboard
for the Earth.

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Yeah, exactly.
And after walking through these

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9 planetary boundaries, I mean
the picture is quite clear.

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Seven of them are now beyond the
state zone.

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That means the art system is
under real stress.

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Yes, very she, but it's I think
it's important to stress that

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this framework isn't just about
doom.

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It's also a map showing us where
there is car, where to focus our

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effort and the zone recovery.
As I mentioned before, proofs

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that we can act globally and
turn things around.

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Exactly, there are examples of,
you know, reversing some of

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these challenges for ozone is a
is a good example.

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And every boundary that we've
discussed today comes with some

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solutions which we have
mentioned in in today's

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discussion as well.
It might be as a result of

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restoring ecosystems from
cutting down CO2 emissions to

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redesigning how we produce and
consume.

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We've already made many of these
tools available to humanity.

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What's missing is the is the
speed and scale of this action

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and.
This is probably what the

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conversation is to shift.
Instead of asking is it too

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late, we should be asking OK
what it look like if we actually

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invest in bringing these
boundaries back into a safe

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operating space?
Yeah, but at the end of the day,

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these aren't just scientific
thresholds.

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As we've said before, they're
about food on the table.

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They're about clean water,
stable climates, and the health

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of communities everywhere.
So very closely linked to our

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life.
Yes, well, the demand, the city

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boundaries remind us that we are
a part of connected ecosystem

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and if we care for that system,
it will care, it will take care

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of us.
Absolutely.

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I'm very happy, Carmina, that we
did a refresher on the 9th entry

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Boundaries.
It was obviously very well

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received in the past and we hope
that our listeners will find

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this update interesting.
It will also probably raise a

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few alarm bells, but more
importantly, it will show what

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are the actions that need to be
taken to address this.

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Thanks again to everyone for
joining us on Sustainability

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00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:55,680
Forward.
If you found this episode

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useful, please share it,
subscribe to our podcast and

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00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:01,640
join the conversation on our
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www.sustainabilityforward.com or
on LinkedIn where we post our

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episodes regularly.
And of course, stay tuned

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because the journey to
sustainability is still being

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written and we are here to keep
you forward-looking.

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Thank you, Carmen.
Thank you Rishi.

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Talk soon.